According the the latest Gallup Poll, Texas Governor Rick Perry leads the GOP field running for President.
- Rick Perry 29%
- Mitt Romney 17%
- Ron Paul 13%
- Michele Bachmann 10%
Gallup did something a little strange with this data – according to their website, when they took the poll they included Sarah Palin and Rudy Giuliani as options, but those numbers were not included in the report. Anyone who selected Palin or Giuliani only had their second choice reported in the poll. That seems disingenuous at best.
Regardless of Gallup’s polling practices, the bottom-line of this is that the voting public chooses the name of the candidate they have heard the most in the media, and that’s Rick Perry.
In the meantime, Ron Paul is trending upward while Romney and Bachmann are trending the other way. Ron Paul raised $1.8 million dollars last weekend as part of his birthday money-bomb.
Gallup did offer a bit of history that was interesting:
Perry’s official entry has shaken up the Republican race, making him the new leader for the party’s nomination. Gallup also finds Perry generating strong positive intensity among Republicans familiar with him, suggesting he has a strong initial base with potential to grow, given his below-average recognition.
Still, he, like Romney before him, rates as a weaker front-runner than those in prior GOP nomination contests. Perry will attempt to avoid the same fates as late-entering candidates in the last two nomination contests — Fred Thompson in the 2008 Republican field and Wesley Clarkin the 2004 Democratic field. Both created a buzz surrounding their potential candidacies, and ranked among the national leaders upon entering the race. However, both fared poorly in early primaries and caucuses and soon after ended their candidacies.